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Suspicious Betting on Polymarket After Iran Ceasefire Announcement

Primul articol: 9 apr. 2026, 03:11 | Ultima actualizare: 9 apr. 2026, 03:11 | 1 sursa | 1 articol

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Following the announcement of an Iran ceasefire, newly established accounts on the Polymarket prediction market platform reaped substantial profits from accurately timed bets, triggering concerns about potential insider trading. The rapid gains made by these accounts, coupled with their recent creation, have raised red flags and prompted investigations into the circumstances surrounding the trades. The incident highlights the challenges of regulating decentralized prediction markets and ensuring fair access to information.

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Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets Foto: The Guardian
The Guardian English 9 apr. 2026, 03:11 (acum 5 ore)

Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets

Customers make hundreds of thousands of dollars as records show substantial bets made before announcementMiddle East crisis – live updatesA group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the US and Iran would reach a ceasefire on Tuesday, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new customers.These bets were made even though, in the hours before a two-week ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, Donald Trump’s rhet

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