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Analysis of Prediction Markets and the Search for Reliable Indicators

Primul articol: 3 apr. 2026, 07:00 | Ultima actualizare: 3 apr. 2026, 07:00 | 1 sursa | 1 articol

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Prediction markets are being scrutinized for their potential as reliable indicators of future events. The Financial Times delves into the dynamics of these markets, examining how they aggregate information and the ongoing quest to find new sources of "dumb money" – uninformed participants whose bets can be exploited to improve accuracy.

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Prediction markets: the hunt for the new ‘dumb money’ Foto: Financial Times
Financial Times English 3 apr. 2026, 07:00 (acum 2 ore)

Prediction markets: the hunt for the new ‘dumb money’

As new bettors flock to platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, some make easy prey for trading firms and professional gamblers

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